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New! Softcover edition now available.
***Rated one of the Top 10 Investing & Trading Books of 2009 by SFO Magazine***
See Larry Connors' recent interview about ETFs in Investors Business Daily at ow.ly/38hUh
Are you worried about the risks associated with the stock market? Are you tired of seeing your returns diminish month after month, quarter after quarter?
Are you looking to potentially increase your trading profits AND reduce your risk level? How do you do this? With ETFs.
The First Quantified Book on Trading ETFs
TradingMarkets is excited to announce the launch of High Probability ETF Trading. Written by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez, this book is designed to give you the trading edge you need for success. The strategies have been tested back as far as 1993, all of which have performed with a high accuracy, some up to 90%. While there are many ways to trade ETFs, applying these strategies can increase your trading success.
3 Reasons Why You Should Be Trading ETFs
1. ETFs Are Safer Than Stocks - There is less single stock corporate risk as ETFs are a basket of underlying securities. With multiple securities, you aren t subject to the wide array of risk including corporate scandals, after market earning reports, and other factors that affect individual stocks.
2. Trade ETFs On Both The Long And Short Side - This enables the opportunity to profit in both rising and declining markets.
3. Trade ETFs With or Without Leverage - Many traders like the idea of getting added leverage in their trading and the newly released leveraged ETFs have seen tremendous volume growth as active traders have gravitated to them.
What You Will Learn From Reading High Probability ETF Trading.
In this book, you will learn 7 ETF strategies that have been tested on a universe of 20 of the more liquid ETFs including the SPYs and QQQQs. Each strategy was tested since the inception of the trading of each ETF.
How Well Have the Strategies Performed?
The strategies you will learn resulted in over 80% winning trades since October 2008 in the Larry Connors' Daily Battle Plan.
In fact, from October 2008, these strategies have resulted in following results in the model portfolio:
- 102 ETF Set-Ups
- 82 Winning Trades
- 80% Correct
How Do the Strategies Work?
You will identify the signals at the close of the day. Then, you simply place your orders and exit when the signal occurs, usually 3 to 7 trading days later. That's it!
Are the Strategies Difficult to Learn?
No! In fact all have only a few rules and all the strategies can be learned in an evening. You'll be able to apply the strategies to the next trading day.
Do You Have Strategies for Shorting ETFs?
Yes. Every strategy is designed to be traded both on the long side (especially for bull markets) and the short side (especially for bear markets).
- Sales Rank: #1495265 in Books
- Published on: 2009-05-26
- Number of items: 1
- Binding: Hardcover
- 122 pages
About the Author
Larry Connors CEO & Founder, TradingMarkets
Mr. Connors has over 27 years experience working in the financial markets industry. He started hiscareer in 1982 at Merrill Lynch and later moved on to become a Vice President with Donaldson, Lufkin, Jenrette. Mr. Connors has authored top-selling books on market strategies and volatility trading, including How Markets Really Work, and Street Smarts (with Linda Raschke). Street Smarts was selected by Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine as one of The Classics for trading books written in the past century. His latest book, Short Term Trading Strategies That Work, was released in November 2008 and is already in its second printing.
Cesar Alvarez, Director of Research, Connors Research
Cesar Alvarez is Director of Research for Connors Research LLC. Previously Mr. Alvarez was a senior designer of Excel, helping Microsoft further create and build-out Excel. For the past 8 years Cesar has been a professional market researcher. Mr. Alvarez has been at the forefront of stock market research, having developed a number of successful trading systems now used by numerous investors and fund managers in the United States and internationally. Cesar attended the University of California, Berkeley where he received his Bachelors of Science in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science in 1989 and his Masters of Science in Computer Science in 1990.
HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING AND MAY NOT BE IMPACTED BY BROKERAGE AND OTHER SLIPPAGE FEES. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
PLEASE REVIEW THE FULL DISCLAIMER AT tradingmarkets.com/disclaimer
Most helpful customer reviews
20 of 21 people found the following review helpful.
Trading ideas worth a lot more than $50, but be careful
By F. d'Anconia
I give Mr.Conners much credit for laying out his trading rules with exceptional clarity, and for presenting the backtested results across many markets. The book is not vague and subjective. One rarely sees this in the, sadly, very questionable industry of trading advice. He is sharing an authentic "edge" he has discovered, which is more than one can say for the vast majority in this field.
The book is not perfect. He emphasizes the percentage of profitable trades and the average profit per trade. All well and good. But what was the worst trade? What was the maximum drawdown of a portfolio taking all his signals? What would the results be subtracting typical slippage and commissions? What was the longest losing period? One needs to know these data before starting a do-it-yourself trading program.
For the small price you pay, you get more than your money's worth in useful ideas from a brilliant, creative trading mind. In my opinion it would take prior trading experience, more research, and/or the purchase of one of the author's very expensive related services to implement the ideas safely and effectively. Indeed, the book seems to be a loss-leader for the advanced products. That stated, I liked it much more than most trading books I've read.
63 of 75 people found the following review helpful.
Failure to honor guarantee is not a good sign
By Amazon Customer
Using short term RSI for temporary overbought/oversold in a market headed the other way is a notion that these authors have presented before. However, by torturing the poor old RSI, they have found an additional trick for the pony. They also tortured John Bollinger's %b to produce pretty much the same signals found in the two RSI conditions.
A second approach, perhaps less familiar, is using highs/lows to create set-ups (highs/lows adverse to the market flow). Two variations on this, along with some scale down/up and scale in complete the eight entry strategems.
The authors have basically three varietals of exits. All are perfectly reasonable and appropriate to the work at hand. Two of these may be unfamiliar to many readers, thus making the book a worthwhile purchase without more.
I sound rather negative largely because those who have preceded me here are unjustifiably wildly optimistic. The book really covers very little ground, none of which is new.
At this update writing, I returned my book some three weeks ago. The company is claiming it didn't arrive and is declining to honor their guarantee. I also should note that Dave's wild enthusiasm may relate to his undisclosed business arrangements with the author/publisher of the book.
49 of 58 people found the following review helpful.
Dave S.
By Dave S.
Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez' new book, "High Probability ETF Trading," can be considered a continuation of the research Connors published in his earlier books, most recently in "Short Term Trading Strategies That Work." Written for short-term traders, the format is similar to his other books:
1. An introduction that lays out a trading philosophy;
2. General rules for setting up the trade, e.g., only take long trades when the S&P 500 Index is above its 200-day moving average;
3. Specific and simple entry and exit rules for a number of different trading systems;
4. Charts showing the entries and exits on various ETFs, with a step by step description of each part of the trade: setup, entry, and exit;
5. Trade results for these systems; and
6. Thoughts on scaling in and out of trades, as well as thoughts on money management.
Readers of "how-to" books generally worry about whether the published trades were "cherry-picked" to make the systems look better than they really are in practice. Connors and Alvarez point out the introduction to "High Probability ETF Trading" that the systems' rules are robust, not curve-fitted, and backed by years of statistical test results.
I know from reading his earlier books that Connors seeks to develop strategies with a high probability of success. He and Alvarez hit the mark in this new book, which describes various strategies they developed and tested on various non-leveraged ETFs. Some of the strategies, like RSI 25, were developed years ago and described in Connors' earlier books. Other strategies are brand new, like RSI 75 for shorting.
Unlike in Connors' earlier books, this book discusses both standard and aggressive entries. "Aggressive" entries are second buys that are scaled in when the ETF becomes more oversold (for a long entry) or overbought (for a short entry). For example, buy the first unit when the 4-period RSI is below 25. Buy the second unit if the 4-period RSI is below 20.
As an investment advisor, I have neither the time nor the temperament to wade through books with chapter after chapter of musings, personal thoughts, and disjointed ideas. What I appreciate most about this book, as with Connors' other books, is that the authors lay out their strategies in a no-nonsense, nuts-and-bolts fashion: "If this and this, then do that."
I've traded Connors' strategies for years and they work. No one trade will make you rich but the consistent small winners add up. I highly recommend reading "High Probability ETF Trading" if you are a short-term trader looking for strategies that will help you make money.
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